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High School Preparation Is the Best Predictor of College Graduation What increases students’ chances of earning a bachelor’s degree? According to a widely-acclaimed study of over 10,000 students, the high school curriculum is key. Called Answers in the Tool Box, this study by U.S. Department of Education researcher Clifford Adelman examined more than 20 variables--including high school courses, educational aspirations, race, socioeconomic status (SES), on-time versus late high school graduation, and parenthood prior to age 22--to determine what really influenced the college completion rates of these students. In Adelman’s study, about 40 percent of students attended a four-year college and about 25 percent earned a bachelor’s degree. What were the main differences between those who did and did not graduate? Socioeconomic status had some impact (but it was minimal after the first year of college), and race did not have a statistically significant impact at all. Much more important than either SES or race was the students’ academic preparation for college (which Adelman defined as students’ high school courses, scores on a short SAT-type test, and GPA/class rank). Adelman’s study clearly shows that for students of all backgrounds, tackling a tough curriculum in high school is the best way to maximize their chances of earning a B.A. Here are a few more findings to note:
Adelman’s study has many more interesting findings. To read Answers in the Tool Box, go to www.ed.gov/pubs/Toolbox/index.html. --Editors Return to main article: It's Time To Tell the Kids by James E. Rosenbaum Return to Spring 2004 Table of Contents Articles not posted online are available. To request a copy, please send an e-mail to amered@aft.org
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